Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

On Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Cincinnati Bengals will face the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Bengals will claim a victory — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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With 374.6 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranked second-worst in the NFL, the Bengals were forced to rely on their 22nd-ranked offense (318.9 yards per contest) to keep them in games last season. While the Patriots ranked seventh in total defense with 301.6 yards allowed per game last season, they were a little less successful on offense, ranking third-worst (276.2 yards per game).

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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bengals (-7.5) Under (41) Bengals 27, Patriots 13

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Bengals Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Bengals’ implied win probability is 80.0%.
  • Cincinnati compiled a 7-8-2 record against the spread last season.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Cincinnati games.
  • The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
  • New England put together a 5-12-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Patriots covered the spread twice when an underdog by 7.5 points or more last season (in four opportunities).
  • New England and its opponent combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times last season.
  • Games involving the Patriots last year averaged 39.4 points per game, a 1.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Bengals 21.5 22.6 23.7 19.1 19.1 26.5
Patriots 13.9 21.5 12.1 20.9 15.9 22.3

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