Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – November 17

Published 9:17 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (5-7) square off against the Miami Heat (5-6) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET on FDSIN and FDSSUN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.7
  • The Pacers have covered the spread more often than the Heat this year, sporting an ATS record of 6-6-0, compared to the 5-6-0 mark of the Heat.
  • When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Indiana (2-4) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (33.3%) than Miami (3-1) does as the underdog (75%).
  • Indiana and its opponents have eclipsed the point total 66.7% of the time this season (eight out of 12). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (six out of 11).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Pacers are 2-4, while the Heat are 2-3 as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • The Pacers are scoring 113.6 points per game (13th-ranked in NBA) this season, while giving up 117.2 points per contest (25th-ranked).
  • While Indiana is in the bottom five in the NBA in boards per game with 40 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.6 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Pacers are putting up 27.8 assists per game, which ranks them eighth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana ranks 16th in the NBA with 13.9 turnovers per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 21st with 12.9 forced turnovers per contest.
  • With 12.3 threes per game, the Pacers rank 19th in the NBA. They own a 37.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks ninth in the league.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • At 111.5 points scored per game and 111.2 points allowed, the Heat are 19th in the league on offense and 10th on defense.
  • Miami is 22nd in the league in rebounds per game (42.4) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.3).
  • With 25.5 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
  • Miami is the third-best team in the league in turnovers per game (11.7) and seventh in turnovers forced (15.2).
  • In 2024-25 the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%).

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