Saturday’s contest that pits the Morehead State Eagles (5-6, 1-0 OVC) against the Tennessee State Tigers (4-8, 0-1 OVC) at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has a projected final score of 77-74 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Morehead State, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 3:30 PM ET on December 21.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State is projected to cover the spread (3.5) versus Morehead State. The two sides are projected to exceed the 148.5 over/under.

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 3:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Morehead, Kentucky
• Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
• Line: Morehead State -3.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -188, Tennessee State +152

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Morehead State vs. Tennessee State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Morehead State 77, Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)

Morehead State is 5-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Tennessee State’s 4-5-0 ATS record. The Eagles have hit the over in four games, while Tigers games have gone over eight times. The teams average 150.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles’ -41 scoring differential (being outscored by 3.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 69.5 points per game (308th in college basketball) while giving up 73.2 per outing (236th in college basketball).
• Morehead State is 133rd in college basketball at 33.9 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 more than the 30.5 its opponents average.
• Morehead State connects on 6 three-pointers per game (334th in college basketball) while shooting 31.4% from deep (280th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 7.5 per game while shooting 32%.
• The Eagles rank 293rd in college basketball by averaging 90.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 278th in college basketball, allowing 95.2 points per 100 possessions.
• Morehead State has committed 11.8 turnovers per game (199th in college basketball action), two more than the 9.8 it forces on average (327th in college basketball).

Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a +58 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.8 points per game. They’re putting up 81.4 points per game, 63rd in college basketball, and are allowing 76.6 per contest to rank 300th in college basketball.
• Tennessee State wins the rebound battle by 10.4 boards on average. It collects 42.1 rebounds per game, first in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.7.
• Tennessee State connects on 1.2 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 6.4 (307th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.6.
• Tennessee State has committed 14.8 turnovers per game (349th in college basketball), two more than the 12.8 it forces (134th in college basketball).

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