Thursday’s game between the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) at Memorial Coliseum has a projected final score of 69-64 based on our computer prediction, with Kentucky securing the victory. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 135.5 over/under.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -140, Mississippi State +115

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The two teams score an average of 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game with a +256 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.4 points per game (39th in college basketball) and allow 57.1 per outing (53rd in college basketball).
• The 38.8 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 23rd in college basketball, and are 9.8 more than the 29 its opponents grab per outing.
• Kentucky hits 7.8 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 29.6% rate (227th in college basketball), compared to the 4.8 per game its opponents make at a 24.9% rate.
• The Wildcats score 95.6 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball), while giving up 69.6 points per 100 possessions (45th in college basketball).
• Kentucky has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (23rd in college basketball action), 1.1 fewer than the 13.3 it forces on average (322nd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs put up 78.9 points per game (35th in college basketball) while allowing 51.9 per outing (sixth in college basketball). They have a +378 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 27.0 points per game.
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 14.6 boards on average. It collects 40.5 rebounds per game, 10th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 25.9.
• Mississippi State makes 6.8 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) while shooting 32.4% from beyond the arc (135th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 more threes than its opponents, who drain 5.6 per game at 24.5%.
• Mississippi State has committed 1.2 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 16.4 (198th in college basketball) while forcing 17.6 (107th in college basketball).

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