Saturday’s game features the No. 10 Kentucky Wildcats (11-2, 0-0 SEC) and the No. 6 Florida Gators (13-0, 0-0 SEC) facing off at Rupp Arena in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 79-77 victory for Kentucky according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 11:00 AM ET on January 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) against Florida. The two sides are expected to go under the 165.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Florida Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -115, Florida -104

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Kentucky vs. Florida Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 79, Florida 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Florida

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Kentucky’s record against the spread so far this season is 6-7-0, and Florida’s is 10-3-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Wildcats are 7-6-0 and the Gators are 5-8-0. The teams score an average of 176.4 points per game, 10.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests, while Florida has gone 9-1 against the spread and 10-0 overall.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 17.7 points per game (scoring 89.0 points per game to rank third in college basketball while allowing 71.3 per contest to rank 186th in college basketball) and have a +230 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 4.8 boards. It is pulling down 37.8 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.0 per contest.
• Kentucky knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball) at a 35.5% rate (112th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game its opponents make at a 27.4% rate.
• The Wildcats rank 14th in college basketball by averaging 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 85th in college basketball, allowing 86.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Kentucky has committed 9.0 turnovers per game (10th in college basketball action), 1.7 fewer than the 10.7 it forces on average (281st in college basketball).

Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators are outscoring opponents by 23.9 points per game, with a +311 scoring differential overall. They put up 87.4 points per game (ninth in college basketball) and allow 63.5 per outing (24th in college basketball).
• Florida ranks first in the country at 43.5 rebounds per game. That’s 13.9 more than the 29.6 its opponents average.
• Florida makes 9.7 three-pointers per game (44th in college basketball) at a 34.5% rate (144th in college basketball), compared to the 6.0 per game its opponents make, at a 26.6% rate.
• Florida has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 10.9 (122nd in college basketball) while forcing 12.8 (131st in college basketball).

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