Tennessee vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 28
Published 2:38 pm Monday, January 27, 2025
Tuesday’s game features the No. 8 Tennessee Volunteers (17-3, 4-3 SEC) and the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (14-5, 3-3 SEC) clashing at Thompson-Boling Arena (on January 28) at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 78-71 win for Tennessee.
Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) versus Tennessee. The two teams are projected to go over the 148.5 over/under.
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
- Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
- Line: Tennessee -8.5
- Point total: 148.5
- Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Kentucky +300
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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Tennessee 78, Kentucky 71
Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+8.5)
- Pick OU: Over (148.5)
Tennessee’s record against the spread so far this season is 13-7-0, while Kentucky’s is 9-10-0. The Volunteers have gone over the point total in seven games, while Wildcats games have gone over 10 times. The two teams average 163.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
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Tennessee Performance Insights
- The Volunteers have a +335 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.7 points per game. They’re putting up 75.1 points per game to rank 175th in college basketball and are allowing 58.4 per contest to rank third in college basketball.
- Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 8.5 boards on average. It records 35.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 50th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 26.8 per outing.
- Tennessee connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball), 2.0 more than its opponents (6.6). It is shooting 34.2% from deep (160th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 25.4%.
- The Volunteers rank 92nd in college basketball by averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 77.5 points per 100 possessions.
- Tennessee has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (68th in college basketball action), 2.0 fewer than the 12.2 it forces on average (140th in college basketball).
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 12.1 points per game, with a +230 scoring differential overall. They put up 88.1 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.0 per outing (296th in college basketball).
- The 36.5 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank 25th in the country, 4.1 more than the 32.4 its opponents record.
- Kentucky connects on 10.1 three-pointers per game (23rd in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents.
- Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.8 per game (34th in college basketball) and force 10.1 (313th in college basketball).
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