Saturday’s game at Rupp Arena has the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (15-5, 4-3 SEC) taking on the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-8, 1-6 SEC) at 9:00 PM ET on February 1. Our computer prediction projects a 82-72 victory for Kentucky, who are favored by our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Kentucky. The over/under is listed at 158.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 1, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -11.5
• Point total: 158.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -649, Arkansas +470

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Kentucky vs. Arkansas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 82, Arkansas 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Arkansas

• Pick ATS: Arkansas (+11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (158.5)

Kentucky is 10-10-0 against the spread this season compared to Arkansas’ 6-14-0 ATS record. The Wildcats have an 11-9-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Razorbacks have a record of 7-13-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 163.8 points per game, 5.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Kentucky has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in the past 10 games. Arkansas has gone 2-8 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 games.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 11.7 points per game with a +235 scoring differential overall. They put up 87.6 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 75.9 per outing (292nd in college basketball).
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by four boards on average. It records 36.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 24th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.5 per contest.
• Kentucky hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball), 1.8 more than its opponents (8.4). It is shooting 37.4% from deep (37th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 28.8%.
• The Wildcats put up 106.6 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while giving up 92.3 points per 100 possessions (184th in college basketball).
• Kentucky forces 9.9 turnovers per game (320th in college basketball) while committing 9.9 (42nd in college basketball play).

Arkansas Performance Insights

• The Razorbacks have a +161 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.1 points per game. They’re putting up 76.2 points per game, 134th in college basketball, and are allowing 68.1 per outing to rank 81st in college basketball.
• Arkansas is 161st in the country at 32.7 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 more than the 31.1 its opponents average.
• Arkansas connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (224th in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (255th in college basketball), compared to the 7.6 its opponents make, shooting 31.5% from deep.
• Arkansas forces 12.3 turnovers per game (132nd in college basketball) while committing 11.4 (183rd in college basketball).

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