Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15

Published 10:38 pm Friday, February 14, 2025

Saturday’s game that pits the Morehead State Eagles (14-12, 9-6 OVC) versus the Western Illinois Leathernecks (9-17, 3-12 OVC) at LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 69-68 in favor of Morehead State. Game time is at 2:30 PM ET on February 15.

Based on our computer prediction, Western Illinois is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 130.5 total.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Macomb, Illinois
  • Venue: LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall
  • Line: Morehead State -1.5
  • Point total: 130.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -134, Western Illinois +110

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Morehead State 69, Western Illinois 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

  • Pick ATS: Western Illinois (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Morehead State’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-12-0, and Western Illinois’ is 7-16-0. The Eagles are 8-15-0 and the Leathernecks are 16-7-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams score an average of 135 points per game, 4.5 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Morehead State is 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall while Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles have a -50 scoring differential, falling short by 1.9 points per game. They’re putting up 67.2 points per game to rank 336th in college basketball and are giving up 69.1 per outing to rank 96th in college basketball.
  • The 33.7 rebounds per game Morehead State averages rank 92nd in the country, and are 4.4 more than the 29.3 its opponents pull down per outing.
  • Morehead State makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (343rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 31.2% from deep while its opponents hit 34.1% from long range.
  • The Eagles average 90.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (298th in college basketball), and allow 93.3 points per 100 possessions (188th in college basketball).
  • Morehead State has lost the turnover battle by 1.4 turnovers per game, committing 11 (151st in college basketball play) while forcing 9.6 (331st in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

  • The Leathernecks’ -69 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 67.8 points per game (324th in college basketball) while giving up 70.5 per contest (144th in college basketball).
  • The 31.6 rebounds per game Western Illinois accumulates rank 217th in the nation. Their opponents grab 31.
  • Western Illinois connects on 8 three-pointers per game (153rd in college basketball) at a 37.2% rate (42nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 per game its opponents make, at a 34% rate.
  • Western Illinois loses the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 10.6 (106th in college basketball) while its opponents average 8.7.

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