NBA Best Bets: Pacers vs. Heat Picks for November 17
Published 11:35 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024
The Indiana Pacers (5-7) are favored by 2.5 points against the Miami Heat (5-6) on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on FDSIN and FDSSUN.
To find the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.
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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 5:00 PM ET
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: FDSIN and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Pacers vs. Heat Best Bets
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Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 PTS
- Tyrese Haliburton’s 16.2 points per game average is 2.3 less than Sunday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Haliburton is 4-for-13 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- The Pacers are at the 13th spot in the NBA’s scoring rankings (113.6 points per game), while the Heat concede the 10th-lowest amount of points (111.2 per game).
- When Indiana puts up more than 111.2 points, its record is 5-3.
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Bam Adebayo Over 17.5 PTS
- The 17.5-point over/under for Bam Adebayo on Sunday is 0.9 higher than his season scoring average.
- Adebayo has hit the over on his points prop on four occasions this season (in 12 games with such a prop).
- Miami’s squad is currently the 19th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (111.5 points per game), while Indiana is 25th in points conceded (117.2 per game).
- When scoring more points than 117.2, Miami is 2-2.
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Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
- Indiana has six wins in 12 games against the spread this season.
- Miami has beaten the spread five times in 11 games.
- As a 2.5-point favorite or greater, the Pacers have two wins ATS (2-4).
- The Heat are 3-1 as 2.5-point underdogs or greater.
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Pick OU:
Under (228.5)
- In eight of 12 games this season, the Pacers and their opponents have gone over 228.5 points.
- Heat games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 228.5 points in three of 11 outings.
- The average point total in Indiana’s outings this year is 230.5, two more than this matchup’s over/under.
- The average over/under for Miami’s matchups this season is 220, 8.5 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- The Pacers score the 24th-most points in the NBA this season, while the Heat’s offense racks up the 29th-most.
- The Pacers are the league’s 10th-ranked scoring defense while the Heat are the top-ranked.
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Moneyline Pick: Heat (+120)
- The Pacers have been favorites in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests.
- The Heat have been underdogs in five games this season and have come away with the win two times (40%) in those contests.
- Indiana has a record of 2-4 when it’s favored by -145 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pacers, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
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