Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 11

Published 2:38 am Saturday, January 11, 2025

Saturday’s game between the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (9-7, 4-1 OVC) and Morehead State Eagles (9-7, 4-1 OVC) going head to head at Show Me Center has a projected final score of 75-66 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Southeast Missouri State, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will start at 4:45 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Southeast Missouri State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup versus Morehead State. The total is currently listed at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:45 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Cape Girardeau, Missouri
  • Venue: Show Me Center
  • Line: Southeast Missouri State -3.5
  • Point total: 137.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Southeast Missouri State -164, Morehead State +134

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Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Southeast Missouri State 75, Morehead State 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State

  • Pick ATS: Southeast Missouri State (-3.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (137.5)

Southeast Missouri State is 9-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Morehead State’s 8-5-0 ATS record. A total of eight out of the Redhawks’ games this season have hit the over, and four of the Eagles’ games have gone over. The two teams average 144.3 points per game, 6.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Southeast Missouri State has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in the last 10 contests. Morehead State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Southeast Missouri State Performance Insights

  • The Redhawks’ +111 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.5 points per game (211th in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per outing (86th in college basketball).
  • Southeast Missouri State records 34.1 rebounds per game (108th in college basketball) compared to the 33.7 of its opponents.
  • Southeast Missouri State hits 7.6 three-pointers per game (199th in college basketball) at a 31.9% rate (273rd in college basketball), compared to the 5.4 per game its opponents make at a 26.2% rate.
  • The Redhawks rank 228th in college basketball with 94.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 56th in college basketball defensively with 85.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Southeast Missouri State wins the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 10.6 (87th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.1.

Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles score 69.8 points per game (297th in college basketball) and concede 70.7 (164th in college basketball) for a -15 scoring differential overall.
  • Morehead State wins the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It collects 35.0 rebounds per game, 76th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.2.
  • Morehead State hits 5.8 three-pointers per game (343rd in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 30.8% from deep (306th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.3%.
  • Morehead State loses the turnover battle by 1.2 per game, committing 11.5 (188th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.3.

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