Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 16

Published 10:38 pm Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Thursday’s contest at Ellis T. Johnson Arena has the Morehead State Eagles (10-7, 5-1 OVC) going head-to-head against the Western Illinois Leathernecks (8-9, 2-4 OVC) at 7:30 PM (on January 16). Our computer prediction projects a 72-67 victory for Morehead State, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Western Illinois is projected to cover the point spread (6.5) against Morehead State. The two sides are projected to go over the 131.5 over/under.

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Morehead, Kentucky
  • Venue: Ellis T. Johnson Arena
  • Line: Morehead State -6.5
  • Point total: 131.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Morehead State -290, Western Illinois +225

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Morehead State vs. Western Illinois Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Morehead State 72, Western Illinois 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Morehead State vs. Western Illinois

  • Pick ATS: Western Illinois (+6.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (131.5)

Morehead State has a 9-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Western Illinois, who is 4-10-0 ATS. The Eagles have hit the over in four games, while Leathernecks games have gone over 10 times. The teams average 140.1 points per game, 8.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Morehead State is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Western Illinois has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Morehead State Performance Insights

  • The Eagles average 69.6 points per game (299th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (129th in college basketball). They have a -4 scoring differential overall.
  • Morehead State wins the rebound battle by 5.9 boards on average. It records 35.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 55th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.5 per outing.
  • Morehead State makes 5.8 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) while shooting 31.0% from deep (311th in college basketball). It is making 1.2 fewer threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 7.0 per game while shooting 33.1%.
  • The Eagles average 91.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (285th in college basketball), and allow 91.7 points per 100 possessions (178th in college basketball).
  • Morehead State has lost the turnover battle by 1.3 turnovers per game, committing 11.5 (184th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.2 (313th in college basketball).

Western Illinois Performance Insights

  • The Leathernecks score 70.5 points per game (279th in college basketball) and give up 70.5 (149th in college basketball) for a -1 scoring differential overall.
  • Western Illinois averages 31.9 rebounds per game (229th in college basketball) while allowing 29.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
  • Western Illinois connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (120th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 36.7% from beyond the arc (60th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 32.9%.
  • Western Illinois has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.4 per game, committing 10.9 (123rd in college basketball) while forcing 9.5 (341st in college basketball).

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