Saturday’s game between the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats (14-3, 3-1 SEC) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (14-3, 3-1 SEC) at Rupp Arena should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 83-82, with Kentucky coming out on top. Game time is at 12:00 PM ET on January 18.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 3.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 178.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -3.5
• Point total: 178.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -156, Alabama +130

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Kentucky vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 83, Alabama 82

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (178.5)

Both Kentucky and Alabama are 9-8-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. Both the Wildcats and the Crimson Tide are 9-8-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The two teams score 178.2 points per game combined, 0.3 less than this matchup’s over/under. Kentucky has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the past 10 games. Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 14.1 points per game (scoring 88.7 points per game to rank third in college basketball while allowing 74.6 per contest to rank 265th in college basketball) and have a +240 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 3.9 boards on average. It records 36.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 27th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.5 per contest.
• Kentucky hits 10.1 three-pointers per game (29th in college basketball) at a 36.5% rate (62nd in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 per game its opponents make at a 28.0% rate.
• The Wildcats average 107.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and give up 90.5 points per 100 possessions (151st in college basketball).
• Kentucky and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.5 per game (19th in college basketball) and force 10.5 (291st in college basketball action).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide put up 89.5 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 77.2 per contest (310th in college basketball). They have a +209 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game.
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 8.6 boards on average. It collects 40.9 rebounds per game, third in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.3.
• Alabama makes 10.0 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 32.0% rate (277th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game its opponents make, at a 28.4% rate.
• Alabama has committed 12.2 turnovers per game (254th in college basketball), 1.8 more than the 10.4 it forces (298th in college basketball).

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