Tuesday’s contest between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) matching up at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 75-74 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Kentucky. The over/under is listed at 149.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -1.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -120, Kentucky +100

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Tennessee (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee has put together a 15-9-0 record against the spread this season, while Kentucky is 11-12-0. The Volunteers are 9-15-0 and the Wildcats are 13-10-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score 161.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers have a +372 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.5 points per game. They’re putting up 74.8 points per game to rank 165th in college basketball and are giving up 59.3 per contest to rank third in college basketball.
• The 35.1 rebounds per game Tennessee averages rank 47th in college basketball, and are 8.1 more than the 27.0 its opponents grab per contest.
• Tennessee makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) while shooting 34.3% from deep (148th in college basketball). It is making 1.7 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.9 per game while shooting 26.6%.
• The Volunteers rank 91st in college basketball by averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 79.0 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (73rd in college basketball play), 1.5 fewer than the 11.7 it forces on average (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats have a +234 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.1 points per game. They’re putting up 86.7 points per game, third in college basketball, and are allowing 76.6 per outing to rank 307th in college basketball.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 4.0 boards on average. It records 35.9 rebounds per game, 27th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.9.
• Kentucky knocks down 10.1 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 1.5 more than its opponents. It shoots 37.9% from deep (24th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 30.0%.
• Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (346th in college basketball) while committing 9.8 (41st in college basketball).

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