Alabama vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 22

Published 2:38 pm Friday, February 21, 2025

Saturday’s contest features the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-5, 10-3 SEC) and the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-8, 7-6 SEC) clashing at Coleman Coliseum (on February 22) at 6:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in an 86-80 victory for Alabama.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 9.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama. The over/under has been set at 178.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -9.5
  • Point total: 178.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -429, Kentucky +330

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 86, Kentucky 80

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+9.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (178.5)

Both Alabama and Kentucky are 14-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Crimson Tide are 16-10-0 and the Wildcats are 14-12-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 176.4 points per game combined, 2.1 less than this matchup’s over/under. In the last 10 contests, Alabama is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Kentucky has gone 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game with a +268 scoring differential overall. They put up 90.6 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 80.3 per contest (349th in college basketball).
  • The 39.9 rebounds per game Alabama averages rank second in college basketball, and are 7.6 more than the 32.3 its opponents record per contest.
  • Alabama connects on 10.2 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball), 3.1 more than its opponents (7.1). It is shooting 34.2% from deep (166th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 30.2%.
  • The Crimson Tide rank 23rd in college basketball by averaging 104.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 157th in college basketball, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.
  • Alabama loses the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 12.5 (289th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.8.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 10.1 points per game, with a +262 scoring differential overall. They put up 85.8 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 75.7 per outing (289th in college basketball).
  • Kentucky comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.2 boards. It pulls down 35.1 rebounds per game (43rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.9.
  • Kentucky hits 10.0 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents.
  • Kentucky has committed 10.0 turnovers per game (60th in college basketball) while forcing 9.3 (339th in college basketball).

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