Thursday’s contest between the Tennessee State Tigers (14-15, 10-8 OVC) and Morehead State Eagles (14-15, 9-9 OVC) matching up at Gentry Center has a projected final score of 77-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee State, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will begin at 8:30 PM ET on February 27.

According to our computer prediction, Tennessee State should cover the spread, which currently sits at 7.5. The two teams are projected to go under the 145.5 total.

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Gentry Center
• Line: Tennessee State -7.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee State -429, Morehead State +320

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Tennessee State vs. Morehead State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee State 77, Morehead State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee State vs. Morehead State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee State (-7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (145.5)

Tennessee State’s record against the spread so far this season is 14-12-0, and Morehead State’s is 11-15-0. The Tigers have hit the over in 19 games, while Eagles games have gone over 10 times. The two teams score 146.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Tennessee State is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Morehead State has gone 1-9 against the spread and 2-8 overall.

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Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Tigers have a +133 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.5 points per game. They’re putting up 79.3 points per game to rank 57th in college basketball and are allowing 74.8 per outing to rank 265th in college basketball.
• Tennessee State ranks fourth in college basketball at 38.2 rebounds per game. That’s 7.0 more than the 31.2 its opponents average.
• Tennessee State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (278th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 32.2% from deep while its opponents hit 32.6% from long range.
• The Tigers rank 226th in college basketball by averaging 94.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 74th in college basketball, allowing 88.7 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee State has lost the turnover battle by 2.5 turnovers per game, committing 14.9 (359th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.4 (94th in college basketball).

Morehead State Performance Insights

• The Eagles’ -78 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 66.8 points per game (339th in college basketball) while allowing 69.5 per contest (102nd in college basketball).
• The 33.5 rebounds per game Morehead State accumulates rank 88th in college basketball, 4.5 more than the 29 its opponents collect.
• Morehead State makes 5.9 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball) at a 31.1% rate (324th in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 35.3% from deep.
• Morehead State loses the turnover battle by 1.3 per game, committing 10.8 (134th in college basketball) while its opponents average 9.5.

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