Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 9:18 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) play the Miami Heat (27-30) as 3.5-point favorites on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
  • The Pacers (28-29-0 ATS) have covered the spread 49.1% of the time, 3.5% more often than the Heat (26-31-0) this year.
  • When the spread is set as 3.5 or more this season, Indiana (12-15) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (44.4%) than Miami (6-11) does as the underdog (35.3%).
  • When it comes to eclipsing the total in 2024-25, Indiana does it better (57.9% of the time) than Miami (54.4%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Pacers are 21-12, a better record than the Heat have recorded (8-17) as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Pacers are putting up 116.4 points per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are giving up 115.2 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked).
  • Indiana is pulling down only 41.4 rebounds per game (third-worst in NBA), and it is allowing 44.6 boards per contest (19th-ranked).
  • The Pacers are putting up 28.9 dimes per game, which ranks them sixth in the NBA in 2024-25.
  • Indiana ranks top-five this year in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.6 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Pacers are draining 12.7 treys per game (19th-ranked in league). They sport a 36.7% shooting percentage (11th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 110 points scored per game and 110.6 points allowed, the Heat are 24th in the league on offense and seventh defensively.
  • With 43.9 rebounds per game and 45.5 rebounds allowed, Miami is 18th and 23rd in the league, respectively.
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the league in assists at 26.1 per game.
  • Miami commits 12.7 turnovers per game and force 12.6 per game, ranking sixth and 23rd, respectively, in the league.
  • Beyond the arc, the Heat are 11th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (13.9). They are 14th in 3-point percentage at 36%.

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