Saturday’s game at Rupp Arena has the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) going head-to-head against the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) at 1 p.m. (on March 1). Our computer prediction projects a 81-77 victory for Auburn, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup versus Auburn. The over/under is currently listed at 168.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Auburn -5.5
• Point total: 168.5
• Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Auburn 81, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (168.5)

Auburn has gone 17-11-0 against the spread, while Kentucky’s ATS record this season is 14-14-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Tigers are 17-11-0 and the Wildcats are 15-13-0. The teams score 170.7 points per game, 2.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Auburn is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers average 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (75th in college basketball). They have a +467 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 16.7 points per game.
• The 35.4 rebounds per game Auburn averages rank 30th in the nation, and are 6.8 more than the 28.6 its opponents record per contest.
• Auburn hits 9.3 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball), 3.4 more than its opponents (5.9). It is shooting 36.7% from deep (49th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.5%.
• The Tigers average 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in college basketball), and allow 87.2 points per 100 possessions (42nd in college basketball).
• Auburn has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 8.8 per game (seventh in college basketball action) while forcing 11.0 (220th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats put up 85.6 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 76.6 per outing (310th in college basketball). They have a +250 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 9.0 points per game.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It records 34.8 rebounds per game, 52nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.1.
• Kentucky knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball) while shooting 37.6% from deep (26th in college basketball). It is making 1.6 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.3 per game at 29.7%.
• Kentucky has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (79th in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (325th in college basketball).

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